PolyBot

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Traders

Dadush.t

0xae1d1fe2ea6e50a9bf13f9f17efd4a5e61d6e333

Realised P&L
$246.19
Volume
$110.0k
Markets traded
289
Open portfolio
$186.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded289
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2540.165$115.50−$62.50
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes0.2810.121$70.18−$93.02
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.1600.001$0.40−$63.60
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? · No0.0490.000$0.00−$29.63
Iran full airspace closure by July 27? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$28.00
Iran full airspace closure by July 24? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$48.00
Iran closes its airspace by May 21? · Yes0.0950.000$0.00−$19.00
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.1870.000$0.00−$18.73
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00−$12.50
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? · No0.0380.000$0.00−$7.60
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$21.00
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Neither team to score first? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$5.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? · No0.2600.000$0.00−$52.00
Iran leadership change by August 31? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00−$15.64
Iran leadership change by September 30? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$40.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 04:36Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?SELL0.9274414545$102.02
09-16 17:52Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.29$31.90
08-26 17:08Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?BUY0.24$24.00
08-16 07:59Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?BUY0.24$19.20
08-16 04:47Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?BUY0.34$55.42
08-07 10:02Iran leadership change by August 31?BUY0.048875$9.78
08-02 06:12Iran leadership change by August 31?SELL0.0262290667$11.80
08-02 06:12Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?SELL0.06$24.00
07-29 00:20Iran leadership change by August 31?BUY0.051$10.20
07-28 04:01Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.1$40.00
07-28 04:00Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.22$44.00
07-28 04:00Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.16$64.00
07-28 03:55Iran leadership change by August 31?SELL0.047$11.75
07-28 03:54Iran leadership change by July 31?SELL0.007$4.90
07-28 03:54Iran full airspace closure by July 31?SELL0.031$3.10