Dadush.t
0xae1d1fe2ea6e50a9bf13f9f17efd4a5e61d6e333
- Realised P&L
- $246.19
- Volume
- $110.0k
- Markets traded
- 289
- Open portfolio
- $186.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded289
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$279.09at 0.086Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$260.30at 0.307Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$210.20at 0.293Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
- +$166.18at 0.326Will the US seize an Iran-linked tanker by Feb 28?
- +$163.59at 0.832Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 04:36 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? | SELL | 0.9274414545 | $102.02 |
| 09-16 17:52 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.29 | $31.90 |
| 08-26 17:08 | Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.24 | $24.00 |
| 08-16 07:59 | Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.24 | $19.20 |
| 08-16 04:47 | Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.34 | $55.42 |
| 08-07 10:02 | Iran leadership change by August 31? | BUY | 0.048875 | $9.78 |
| 08-02 06:12 | Iran leadership change by August 31? | SELL | 0.0262290667 | $11.80 |
| 08-02 06:12 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | SELL | 0.06 | $24.00 |
| 07-29 00:20 | Iran leadership change by August 31? | BUY | 0.051 | $10.20 |
| 07-28 04:01 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $40.00 |
| 07-28 04:00 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.22 | $44.00 |
| 07-28 04:00 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.16 | $64.00 |
| 07-28 03:55 | Iran leadership change by August 31? | SELL | 0.047 | $11.75 |
| 07-28 03:54 | Iran leadership change by July 31? | SELL | 0.007 | $4.90 |
| 07-28 03:54 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | SELL | 0.031 | $3.10 |