PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Howids

0xae11c24b83c63827c1450907aa9c5d2115812d01

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$95.6k
Markets traded
1,711
Open portfolio
$206.25

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,711
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration51.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5200.475$95.01$9.00
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic0.9550.939$93.85$1.65
LA28 Olympics run as scheduled? · Yes0.8860.855$17.39$0.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 19:34Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.5$100.00
09-12 01:48Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 11, 2026?SELL0.001$0.05
09-11 07:29Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.8149743965$33.42
09-10 22:12Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?SELL0.5126443545$41.82
09-10 00:23No one announced as next James Bond?SELL0.195$9.75
09-09 13:06LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.54$30.94
09-09 12:46LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.73$6.09
09-09 12:45LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.76$13.89
09-09 12:14LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.58$87.00
09-09 12:10LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.68$6.80
09-09 12:07LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.08$2.40
09-09 11:42LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.72$21.52
09-09 04:35Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.205404$41.08
09-09 04:28Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.21$42.00
09-08 01:44LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.7$120.61