Howids
0xae11c24b83c63827c1450907aa9c5d2115812d01
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $95.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,711
- Open portfolio
- $206.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,711
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.475 | $95.01 | −$9.00 |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic | 0.955 | 0.939 | $93.85 | −$1.65 |
| LA28 Olympics run as scheduled? · Yes | 0.886 | 0.855 | $17.39 | −$0.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.89at 0.110Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?
- +$8.94at 0.940S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 22?
- +$7.14at 0.620Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$5.57at 0.099Will "Trump" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the Storytime with the Second Lady Podcast?
- +$3.99at 0.300SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 19:34 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 09-12 01:48 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 09-11 07:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.8149743965 | $33.42 |
| 09-10 22:12 | Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | SELL | 0.5126443545 | $41.82 |
| 09-10 00:23 | No one announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.195 | $9.75 |
| 09-09 13:06 | LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.54 | $30.94 |
| 09-09 12:46 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.73 | $6.09 |
| 09-09 12:45 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.76 | $13.89 |
| 09-09 12:14 | LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.58 | $87.00 |
| 09-09 12:10 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.68 | $6.80 |
| 09-09 12:07 | LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.08 | $2.40 |
| 09-09 11:42 | LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.72 | $21.52 |
| 09-09 04:35 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.205404 | $41.08 |
| 09-09 04:28 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $42.00 |
| 09-08 01:44 | LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7 | $120.61 |