PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xADFb627330cD899e98697C1a8392C07e44460dFA-1778534365343

0xadfb627330cd899e98697c1a8392c07e44460dfa

Realised P&L
$-6.38
Volume
$701.81
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$24.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 19:49Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETBUY0.001$1.00
10-31 19:46Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on November 1?BUY0.0666666667$1.00
10-29 15:45Will Together win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.001$0.03
10-29 15:44Will RZP-Zehut win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.006$0.02
10-28 17:24Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?SELL0.008$0.11
10-28 17:19Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.009$0.22
10-28 17:15Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?SELL0.64$4.00
10-28 17:10Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.324$5.20
10-28 16:52Israel election: will Likud lose seats?SELL0.004$0.11
10-27 15:42Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETBUY0.1199999904$1.00
10-27 15:37Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETBUY0.05$1.00
10-26 23:11Will Shas win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.2399999923$5.00
10-26 23:01Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETBUY0.29999994$1.00
10-26 22:59Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETBUY0.0699999965$1.00
10-26 22:56Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETBUY0.3399999388$1.00