0xADFb627330cD899e98697C1a8392C07e44460dFA-1778534365343
0xadfb627330cd899e98697c1a8392c07e44460dfa
- Realised P&L
- $-6.38
- Volume
- $701.81
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $24.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.17at 0.240Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$13.89at 0.519Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?
- +$4.45at 0.310Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$4.21at 0.201Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
- +$3.00at 0.250Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 19:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 19:46 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.0666666667 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 15:45 | Will Together win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 10-29 15:44 | Will RZP-Zehut win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.02 |
| 10-28 17:24 | Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.11 |
| 10-28 17:19 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.22 |
| 10-28 17:15 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | SELL | 0.64 | $4.00 |
| 10-28 17:10 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.324 | $5.20 |
| 10-28 16:52 | Israel election: will Likud lose seats? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.11 |
| 10-27 15:42 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 15:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 23:11 | Will Shas win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 23:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 22:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 22:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |