PolyBot

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Traders

danfragod

0xadd2014edbfd729da92ecd836512010453579d0f

Realised P&L
$41.48
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$336.50

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 10:29Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.92$5.00
10-06 10:24Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8399999933$10.00
10-05 23:36Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.9299999953$10.00
10-05 20:26Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?BUY0.9$9.00
10-05 20:11Will Dario Amodei be TIME Person of the Year 2026?BUY0.93$9.30
10-05 20:09Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?BUY0.94$9.39
10-05 20:09Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?BUY0.93$9.30
10-05 20:03Cuban regime falls in 2026?BUY0.9$9.00
10-05 14:43Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.562407491$5.00
10-05 11:46Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.839$25.17
10-05 11:38Trump on $250 bill this year?SELL0.975$10.71
10-05 11:36Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.99$5.58
10-03 23:20Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.0529999987$1.00
10-03 10:53Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.9729999987$10.00
10-03 10:37Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.8199999967$5.00