danfragod
0xadd2014edbfd729da92ecd836512010453579d0f
- Realised P&L
- $41.48
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $336.50
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.77at 0.951Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
- +$13.18at 0.436Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$6.83at 0.597Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
- +$5.25at 0.082Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?
- +$4.36at 0.852Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 10:29 | Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 10:24 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 23:36 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 20:26 | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.00 |
| 10-05 20:11 | Will Dario Amodei be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 10-05 20:09 | Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $9.39 |
| 10-05 20:09 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 10-05 20:03 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.00 |
| 10-05 14:43 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.562407491 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 11:46 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.839 | $25.17 |
| 10-05 11:38 | Trump on $250 bill this year? | SELL | 0.975 | $10.71 |
| 10-05 11:36 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.58 |
| 10-03 23:20 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.0529999987 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 10:53 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9729999987 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 10:37 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $5.00 |