PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

1LC-GROWTH-MIXED-HUGE-FUND

0xadcb1ec5dfab55f66c0e4cbd015883b721d23e30

Realised P&L
$289.03
Volume
$12.8k
Markets traded
339
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded339
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs · Dplus KIA0.4460.415$228.40−$17.03
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9620.981$147.08+$2.85
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · No0.9300.925$92.50−$0.50
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs · Gen.G0.9200.915$91.50−$0.50
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · No0.8880.910$63.70+$1.50
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9330.941$47.03+$0.36
Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · No0.8320.870$43.50+$1.92
LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs · T10.7770.825$33.00+$1.90
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.6770.655$29.51−$1.00
LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 - Game 1 Winner · T10.7130.705$27.02−$0.31
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.8200.825$24.75+$0.15
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? · Yes0.5120.975$24.38+$11.57
Will Moonshot AI be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · No0.8320.815$20.38−$0.42
Nothing Ever Happens: October · Nothing0.9600.990$19.79+$0.59
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8400.955$19.10+$2.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:02Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?BUY0.79$3.95
11-01 20:26Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?BUY0.84$8.40
11-01 20:26Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?BUY0.84$8.40
11-01 20:24Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?BUY0.93$93.00
11-01 20:10Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026?SELL0.17$1.70
11-01 13:40Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026?BUY0.21$2.10
11-01 10:32Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?BUY0.9$18.00
11-01 00:36LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.72$3.60
11-01 00:31LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds PlayoffsBUY0.45$2.25
11-01 00:31LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds PlayoffsBUY0.45$2.25
11-01 00:28LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.72$7.20
11-01 00:28LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.72$7.20
11-01 00:19LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds PlayoffsBUY0.45$4.50
11-01 00:18LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds PlayoffsBUY0.42$4.20
11-01 00:18LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds PlayoffsBUY0.42$8.40