hexos7
0xadc6191b9620da87ad0d94eb01616c34bb3cb525
- Realised P&L
- $69.95
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $61.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.82at 0.171Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$21.32at 0.417Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance
- +$17.89at 0.205Johan Manzambi: 1+ goals
- +$17.85at 0.526Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?
- +$14.56at 0.296Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 12:00 | Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? | SELL | 0.0812509848 | $10.11 |
| 07-31 06:48 | Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.0803921501 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 06:48 | Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.0347155223 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 07:39 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5189999949 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 15:15 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5924999804 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 12:43 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 14:25 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 09:49 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 19:18 | Matheus Cunha: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.3099999364 | $2.00 |
| 07-05 19:17 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4099999934 | $15.00 |
| 06-30 12:11 | Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 11:43 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.07 | $4.18 |
| 06-24 07:14 | Johan Manzambi: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.2 | $4.50 |
| 06-19 07:26 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.066999985 | $4.00 |
| 06-19 07:26 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0589999863 | $4.00 |