PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xAD96914D7762DAC84EbBABAfE366AE8ff24Dd49

0xad96914d7762dac84ebbabafe366ae8ff24dd498

Realised P&L
$151.8k
Volume
$12.37M
Markets traded
97
Open portfolio
$32.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded97
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · No0.8630.890$24.7k+$750.12
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · No0.9300.955$7.5k+$197.20
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? · Yes0.7200.845$150.30+$22.23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2440.000$0.00$16.9k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 12:04Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.7786580594$4.9k
08-03 12:04Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.7811274468$364.7k
08-02 02:08Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.77$267.2k
07-30 11:16Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.74$50.7k
07-27 15:55Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.78$24.1k
07-27 10:44Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.79$1.9k
07-23 23:29Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?BUY0.272$1.36
07-23 20:24Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?BUY0.2699946928$982.87
07-23 13:56Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.261$1.2k
07-23 13:55Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.2653144791$3.2k
07-23 13:28Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.261$861.56
07-23 13:26Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.264$7.5k
07-23 13:20Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.261$1.1k
07-23 12:49Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?BUY0.25$219.88
07-23 12:37Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.241$2.0k