PolyBot

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Traders

0xAD96914D7762DAC84EbBABAfE366AE8ff24Dd49

0xad96914d7762dac84ebbabafe366ae8ff24dd498

Realised P&L
$167.1k
Volume
$14.62M
Markets traded
107
Open portfolio
$492.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded107
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8360.835$278.6k−$231.55
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · No0.9030.975$131.6k+$9.6k
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9650.968$58.0k+$170.64
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes0.9850.997$24.4k+$280.27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2440.000$0.00−$16.9k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 09:20Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.82$46.2k
10-28 23:47Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.81$28.7k
10-28 22:34Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?BUY0.996$128.79
10-28 10:33Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.948$1.6k
10-25 22:09Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?SELL0.995$399.53
10-07 01:51Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?BUY0.99$29.0k
10-07 00:11Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?BUY0.983$18.3k
10-05 21:23Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.85$83.8k
10-05 21:23Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.85$47.7k
10-01 17:56Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.85$2.9k
09-30 19:58Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?SELL0.999$999.00
09-23 04:25Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?SELL0.999$8.4k
09-22 09:04Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.85$5.9k
09-22 09:04Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?SELL0.994$5.9k
09-22 08:55Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.85$83.2k