Lehamous
0xad824a3905d30e1ad89952a30bec020a9a71421a
- Realised P&L
- $-268.45
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $970.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? · No | 0.767 | 0.750 | $291.89 | −$6.90 |
| Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026? · No | 0.688 | 0.655 | $284.29 | −$14.17 |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? · No | 0.185 | 0.135 | $176.09 | −$65.39 |
| Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026? · No | 0.440 | 0.625 | $144.99 | +$42.92 |
| Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.825 | $73.42 | +$4.89 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.342 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$98.77 |
| Trump renames AI by October 31? · No | 0.375 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.55at 0.540Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
- +$-63.24at 0.647LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 12:06 | Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $102.07 |
| 10-07 12:01 | Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $180.95 |
| 10-07 11:51 | Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $210.00 |
| 10-07 11:46 | Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.763 | $117.85 |
| 10-06 11:59 | Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $88.46 |
| 10-01 09:01 | Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $68.53 |
| 09-29 09:08 | Trump renames AI by October 31? | BUY | 0.3749349406 | $120.00 |
| 08-29 22:01 | Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $36.01 |
| 06-26 13:12 | LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.64 | $275.48 |
| 01-15 10:40 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999939 | $35.98 |
| 01-15 10:37 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $62.79 |
| 01-07 13:25 | Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes? | BUY | 0.5399999944 | $19.43 |