pagalworld
0xad7a70095b9e7829035ff40d3bf4bbc7acdff00c
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $230.3k
- Markets traded
- 458
- Open portfolio
- $5.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded458
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.912 | 0.925 | $2.3k | +$32.50 |
| Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.884 | 0.964 | $1.5k | +$123.94 |
| Will GTE launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.895 | 0.925 | $1.1k | +$35.49 |
| Printr FDV above $80M one day after launch? · No | 0.920 | 0.769 | $165.54 | −$32.54 |
| Will Nous Research launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.908 | 0.930 | $112.53 | +$2.71 |
| Printr FDV above $150M one day after launch? · No | 0.917 | 0.906 | $93.38 | −$1.08 |
| Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.634 | 0.465 | $55.39 | −$20.18 |
| Will Symbiotic launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.942 | 0.911 | $54.70 | −$1.82 |
| Will Relay launch a token by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.690 | 0.585 | $7.94 | −$1.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$174.88at 0.973Will GTE launch a token by September 30, 2026?
- +$125.45at 0.840Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?
- +$115.38at 0.906Will LI.FI launch a token by December 31, 2026?
- +$102.11at 0.910Will Relay launch a token by December 31, 2026?
- +$88.90at 0.900Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 15:09 | Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $1.01 |
| 10-30 20:14 | Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.976 | $29.28 |
| 10-30 16:13 | Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.971 | $351.74 |
| 10-30 16:07 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? | SELL | 0.999 | $39.96 |
| 10-30 15:23 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 10-29 04:46 | Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $0.09 |
| 10-29 04:45 | Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $288.09 |
| 10-28 19:03 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $910.00 |
| 10-28 09:13 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $800.13 |
| 10-28 08:53 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $32.00 |
| 10-28 01:16 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $18.00 |
| 10-25 19:01 | Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9081481481 | $122.60 |
| 10-25 18:43 | Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $267.99 |
| 10-25 06:38 | Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.83 | $0.02 |
| 10-25 06:37 | Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.83 | $0.02 |