PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xad6fe27e51562b664ff380b8b6e312f589e8deec

Realised P&L
$6.92
Volume
$170.50
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$81.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? · No0.9000.925$11.53+$0.31
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.7900.875$10.36+$1.01
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No0.8800.875$9.15$0.05
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? · No0.9200.935$9.03+$0.14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No0.9100.935$8.79+$0.23
Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026? · No0.9380.972$8.55+$0.29
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · No0.8300.710$8.33$1.41
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7700.525$7.29$3.40
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? · No0.8200.680$6.69$1.38
Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026? · No0.8500.988$2.05+$0.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.