0xad6e02f782ec412b752b44d028a41046a185c0f9
0xad6e02f782ec412b752b44d028a41046a185c0f9
- Realised P&L
- $15.62
- Volume
- $266.19
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $14.43
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.73at 0.217Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$3.73at 0.217Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026?
- +$3.32at 0.237Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?
- +$3.32at 0.237Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$2.67at 0.278S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 15:01 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 06:56 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 22:56 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:35 | Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:29 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 09:45 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 21:49 | Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 13:05 | Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:49 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 00:59 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $66 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 13:40 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 8? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 13:08 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on October 8? | BUY | 0.3389999434 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 04:15 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 18:22 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 10:20 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |