PolyBot

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Traders

0xad6e02f782ec412b752b44d028a41046a185c0f9

0xad6e02f782ec412b752b44d028a41046a185c0f9

Realised P&L
$15.62
Volume
$266.19
Markets traded
118
Open portfolio
$14.43

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded118
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · No0.6000.993$1.66+$0.66
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · Yes0.2400.380$1.58+$0.58
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.6300.950$1.51+$0.51
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No0.6400.845$1.32+$0.32
Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.7200.880$1.22+$0.22
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.5600.680$1.21+$0.21
Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? · Yes0.6200.725$1.17+$0.17
Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B? · Yes0.2600.295$1.13+$0.13
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16? · No0.6100.595$0.98−$0.02
Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.3900.350$0.90−$0.10
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes0.6500.410$0.63−$0.37
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.5400.340$0.63−$0.37
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes0.3400.165$0.49−$0.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 15:01Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
10-12 06:56Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-11 22:56Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.649999805$1.00
10-11 14:35Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
10-11 14:29Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-11 09:45Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
10-10 21:49Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-10 13:05Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
10-09 09:49Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.559999776$1.00
10-09 00:59Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $66 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-08 13:40S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 8?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
10-08 13:08WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on October 8?BUY0.3389999434$1.00
10-08 04:15Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.64$1.00
10-07 18:22Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
10-07 10:20Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?BUY0.7$1.00