cfa1
0xad6a18661bca4188be21333a20a289aa8269eff3
- Realised P&L
- $-30.48
- Volume
- $15.1k
- Markets traded
- 846
- Open portfolio
- $63.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded846
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? · No | 0.980 | 0.918 | $28.46 | −$1.92 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%? · No | 0.860 | 0.798 | $24.74 | −$1.92 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.570 | $5.70 | +$2.70 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.143 | $4.43 | −$4.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.02at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
- +$26.64at 0.494Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
- +$26.35at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
- +$24.35at 0.496Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
- +$22.71at 0.496Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 01:42 | Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%? | BUY | 0.86 | $26.66 |
| 06-11 12:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $3.97 |
| 06-10 13:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $7.47 |
| 06-09 07:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $3.18 |
| 06-09 07:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.82 |
| 06-08 23:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $4.42 |
| 06-08 22:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $3.32 |
| 06-08 22:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $3.32 |
| 06-08 22:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $3.42 |
| 06-08 12:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $4.30 |
| 06-08 12:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $8.34 |
| 06-08 06:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $7.60 |
| 06-08 01:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $4.11 |
| 06-08 01:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $7.73 |
| 06-07 20:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.47 | $3.57 |