PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cfa1

0xad6a18661bca4188be21333a20a289aa8269eff3

Realised P&L
$-30.48
Volume
$15.1k
Markets traded
846
Open portfolio
$63.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded846
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration4.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? · No0.9800.918$28.46$1.92
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%? · No0.8600.798$24.74$1.92
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? · Yes0.3000.570$5.70+$2.70
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? · Yes0.2800.143$4.43$4.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-16 01:42Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?BUY0.86$26.66
06-11 12:58Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.49$3.97
06-10 13:28Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETBUY0.5$7.47
06-09 07:58Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETBUY0.5$3.18
06-09 07:43Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.5$2.82
06-08 23:13Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETBUY0.5$4.42
06-08 22:13Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETBUY0.5$3.32
06-08 22:13Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETBUY0.5$3.32
06-08 22:13Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETBUY0.5$3.42
06-08 12:43Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETBUY0.45$4.30
06-08 12:28Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETBUY0.49$8.34
06-08 06:28Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETBUY0.5$7.60
06-08 01:58Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETBUY0.5$4.11
06-08 01:13Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETBUY0.5$7.73
06-07 20:28Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETBUY0.47$3.57