HotSpring
0xad4b4e6eb43da5288184af640f2af3c688e9bffd
- Realised P&L
- $0.73
- Volume
- $234.88
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $79.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.73at 0.681Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 20:21 | Will Gemini Spark be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 20:05 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 4? | BUY | 0.97 | $5.82 |
| 10-03 20:05 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 7? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 10-03 19:55 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 9? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 19:54 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 5? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 19:54 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 19:54 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 3? | BUY | 0.988999999 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 19:53 | Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 19:04 | Will ChatGPT Dots be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 19:00 | Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 18:58 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4539999942 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 18:58 | Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $6.00 |
| 10-03 18:44 | Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 12:29 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.8699999904 | $10.00 |