PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

HotSpring

0xad4b4e6eb43da5288184af640f2af3c688e9bffd

Realised P&L
$0.73
Volume
$234.88
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$79.04

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 20:21Will Gemini Spark be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026?BUY0.91$1.00
10-03 20:05Israel military action against Lebanon on October 4?BUY0.97$5.82
10-03 20:05Israel military action against Lebanon on October 7?BUY0.3$3.00
10-03 19:55Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 9?BUY0.96$5.00
10-03 19:54Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 5?BUY0.699999972$5.00
10-03 19:54Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?BUY0.8499999915$5.00
10-03 19:54Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 3?BUY0.988999999$5.00
10-03 19:53Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.6199999864$10.00
10-03 19:04Will ChatGPT Dots be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0699999994$5.00
10-03 19:00Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?BUY0.8099999854$10.00
10-03 18:58Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4539999942$5.00
10-03 18:58Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.4899999984$6.00
10-03 18:44Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1?BUY0.6699999839$10.00
10-03 12:29Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?BUY0.8699999904$10.00