0xad48bee824f10fd7622bc5a82e9290a6c8603c41
- Realised P&L
- $-40.93
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $6.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.50at 0.326Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$10.93at 0.440Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
- +$10.84at 0.497Will England win on 2026-07-11?
- +$10.07at 0.587Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
- +$9.62at 0.657Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 13:59 | Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.059 | $0.59 |
| 07-26 13:59 | Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.53 | $4.13 |
| 07-26 13:59 | Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | SELL | 0.987 | $4.64 |
| 07-26 13:58 | Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.54 | $4.76 |
| 07-26 13:58 | Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | SELL | 0.988 | $5.60 |
| 07-26 13:58 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | SELL | 0.96 | $21.62 |
| 07-25 18:01 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.5099999888 | $14.13 |
| 07-19 21:15 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.92 | $23.63 |
| 07-19 20:27 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5 | SELL | 0.991 | $26.75 |
| 07-19 18:22 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.575 | $14.03 |
| 07-17 22:22 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.965 | $26.05 |
| 07-15 18:57 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3149999837 | $7.24 |
| 07-15 17:54 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.64 | $15.79 |
| 07-14 20:29 | France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.52 | $11.92 |
| 07-14 20:29 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.9 | $19.32 |