PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xad48bee824f10fd7622bc5a82e9290a6c8603c41

Realised P&L
$-40.93
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
78
Open portfolio
$6.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded78
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · No0.6700.745$3.27+$0.33
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · Yes0.7400.960$2.42+$0.55
Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1100.037$1.02$1.97
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$3.68
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? · No0.2900.000$0.00$5.87
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes0.1450.000$0.00$2.50
Will Donald Trump visit South Dakota in 2026? · No0.6500.000$0.00$5.58
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06? · No0.6700.000$0.00$15.58
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.5200.000$0.00$11.92
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$3.46
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election? · No0.0700.000$0.00$19.16
Exact Score: Olympic Dcheira 0 - 3 OC Safi? · Yes0.8000.000$0.00$3.41
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? · No0.5000.000$0.00$13.06
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$11.55
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? · No0.3970.000$0.00$8.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-26 13:59Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?SELL0.059$0.59
07-26 13:59Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?SELL0.53$4.13
07-26 13:59Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?SELL0.987$4.64
07-26 13:58Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?SELL0.54$4.76
07-26 13:58Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?SELL0.988$5.60
07-26 13:58Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?SELL0.96$21.62
07-25 18:01Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red SoxBUY0.5099999888$14.13
07-19 21:15Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.92$23.63
07-19 20:27Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5SELL0.991$26.75
07-19 18:22Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.575$14.03
07-17 22:22Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5BUY0.965$26.05
07-15 18:57Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3149999837$7.24
07-15 17:54Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.64$15.79
07-14 20:29France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.52$11.92
07-14 20:29France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.9$19.32