ReneeHernandez8947
0xad4657d485d45cae25d4a4112f9af77208fb0918
- Realised P&L
- $-184.49
- Volume
- $262.1k
- Markets traded
- 239
- Open portfolio
- $657.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded239
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.920 | $599.84 | +$182.56 |
| Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.075 | $48.60 | −$48.60 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · No | 0.640 | 0.265 | $9.54 | −$13.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$342.51at 0.510San Diego Toreros vs. Pepperdine Waves
- +$327.48at 0.158Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?
- +$215.76at 0.640Another crypto hack over $100m before 2027?
- +$211.85at 0.587Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?
- +$195.00at 0.750Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-12 21:24 | Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.48 | $11.52 |
| 04-12 21:23 | Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.48 | $453.12 |
| 04-12 21:22 | Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.48 | $3.36 |
| 04-12 14:12 | Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers | BUY | 0.75 | $700.50 |
| 04-12 12:19 | Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.49 | $477.75 |
| 04-12 01:29 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.7 | $258.30 |
| 04-11 23:28 | New pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $73.92 |
| 04-11 18:19 | Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.48 | $18.72 |
| 04-10 22:30 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.64 | $259.20 |
| 04-10 14:24 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $417.28 |
| 04-09 23:24 | Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.82 | $540.38 |
| 04-09 12:59 | Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.84 | $5.04 |
| 04-07 16:21 | Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.79 | $525.35 |
| 03-30 14:14 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | SELL | 0.45 | $311.40 |
| 03-29 18:47 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | BUY | 0.45 | $311.40 |