Lywx
0xad3550bed24db1ae646cd30301720a08face6cd9
- Realised P&L
- $-542.92
- Volume
- $10.9k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $491.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)39.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$178.49at 0.250US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$105.62at 0.706Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
- +$83.90at 0.549France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$41.77at 0.489US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$31.21at 0.243US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 22:16 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $20.00 |
| 10-25 22:16 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4389999958 | $20.00 |
| 10-25 21:38 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.34310255 | $137.24 |
| 09-26 04:55 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.45 | $180.00 |
| 08-21 16:45 | Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.105068295 | $100.00 |
| 08-21 16:45 | Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.6237623751 | $100.00 |
| 07-18 22:34 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.5369999984 | $100.00 |
| 07-18 21:39 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.649999999 | $100.00 |
| 07-18 21:38 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6220842282 | $100.00 |
| 07-16 20:41 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6119999983 | $100.00 |
| 06-29 01:54 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0519999976 | $20.00 |
| 06-29 01:54 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0599999972 | $20.00 |
| 06-27 14:21 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1899715036 | $200.00 |
| 06-13 10:35 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.6999999997 | $251.73 |
| 04-08 00:03 | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | SELL | 0.02705938 | $27.06 |