0xAd3023Edb7085fCa74E16eCD437F4028d849C34f-1777067197220
0xad3023edb7085fca74e16ecd437f4028d849c34f
- Realised P&L
- $-9.21
- Volume
- $238.24
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $22.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.98at 0.269Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
- +$2.65at 0.284Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 10?
- +$2.09at 0.590Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
- +$0.72at 0.738Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?
- +$0.65at 0.612Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 00:54 | Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.995 | $2.39 |
| 09-29 20:09 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.2399999742 | $1.49 |
| 09-29 14:12 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.997 | $1.07 |
| 09-23 21:08 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 21:49 | Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 21:48 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 04:00 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 00:36 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $2.00 |
| 06-29 23:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 06-29 23:24 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 06-13 22:41 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.4499999212 | $2.00 |
| 06-07 23:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.03 | $0.75 |
| 05-30 16:34 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 05-29 00:16 | Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 05-29 00:16 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |