0xad26dca5902131b4469286bd38a3662792978639
- Realised P&L
- $-21.43
- Volume
- $831.66
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $27.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.135 | $21.32 | −$8.68 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.045 | $5.40 | −$6.60 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.005 | $0.56 | −$3.44 |
| Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.009 | $0.47 | −$0.16 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.60at 0.007Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 09:19 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1899999831 | $9.00 |
| 07-13 22:07 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $12.00 |
| 07-13 21:12 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0180000002 | $2.00 |
| 07-11 00:57 | Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0128018386 | $0.63 |
| 07-11 00:57 | Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.0031305214 | $0.46 |
| 07-11 00:56 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0389999908 | $4.00 |
| 07-11 00:55 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.189999994 | $21.00 |
| 07-11 00:54 | Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.006869473 | $1.00 |