BalmyF
0xad1d027a2feb414653f5ce4a568d98022e01e1b0
- Realised P&L
- $-85.43
- Volume
- $78.4k
- Markets traded
- 8,750
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,750
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.79at 0.760Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$10.05at 0.507Ethereum Up or Down - September 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
- +$9.65at 0.517Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
- +$9.26at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
- +$9.26at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 21:49 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 21:49 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.962 | $0.96 |
| 10-08 21:37 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1399999999 | $41.00 |
| 10-08 21:34 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting? | BUY | 0.0259999996 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 21:12 | Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6912243307 | $440.00 |
| 09-28 20:16 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8383497052 | $889.00 |
| 09-26 19:17 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999996 | $466.00 |
| 09-26 18:16 | XRP Up or Down - September 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6521739045 | $10.00 |
| 09-26 18:16 | Solana Up or Down - September 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 09-26 18:16 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 09-26 18:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 09-26 18:01 | XRP Up or Down - September 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $10.00 |
| 09-26 18:01 | Solana Up or Down - September 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5654761753 | $10.00 |
| 09-26 18:01 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 09-26 18:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.609999986 | $10.00 |