JVF1906
0xad1b27febbbcd00ba574a0885f57ee678212ba8b
- Realised P&L
- $-86.89
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $49.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)89.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.10at 0.310Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 1?
- +$28.29at 0.421Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 1?
- +$26.02at 0.373Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?
- +$22.98at 0.310Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 31?
- +$19.97at 0.341Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-01 07:22 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 2? | BUY | 0.4699999925 | $15.00 |
| 06-01 07:19 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 1? | BUY | 0.5021101683 | $15.00 |
| 05-31 18:30 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 1? | BUY | 0.3299999812 | $10.00 |
| 05-31 18:30 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 1? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 05-31 15:20 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 1? | BUY | 0.3513586601 | $20.00 |
| 05-31 15:18 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 1? | SELL | 0.1635899917 | $23.67 |
| 05-31 15:06 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 2? | BUY | 0.3299999886 | $15.00 |
| 05-31 15:04 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 1? | BUY | 0.3899999888 | $15.00 |
| 05-31 10:52 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 1? | BUY | 0.3699999771 | $10.00 |
| 05-31 10:52 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 1? | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $10.00 |
| 05-31 10:49 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 1? | BUY | 0.3875814817 | $20.00 |
| 05-31 10:49 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 1? | BUY | 0.4091775459 | $20.00 |
| 05-31 08:54 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 1? | BUY | 0.138231006 | $20.00 |
| 05-31 08:53 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 1? | BUY | 0.2993939622 | $20.00 |
| 05-30 17:16 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 1? | BUY | 0.2865205033 | $20.00 |