0xAD13CA64A23321eEC71Ba60d5Efb01EEA258e435-1782376148013
0xad13ca64a23321eec71ba60d5efb01eea258e435
- Realised P&L
- $24.11
- Volume
- $568.51
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $16.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.036 | $5.83 | −$4.17 |
| Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.036 | $4.50 | −$10.50 |
| Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? · Yes | 0.103 | 0.035 | $3.40 | −$6.60 |
| Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes | 0.249 | 0.069 | $2.77 | −$7.23 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.227 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 26, 2026? · No | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.82at 0.104Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 21:01 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2274999874 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 20:44 | Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $15.00 |
| 07-05 20:44 | Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026? | BUY | 0.0626368902 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 20:42 | Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? | BUY | 0.1030147581 | $10.00 |
| 06-25 20:55 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 06-25 20:51 | Natural Disaster in 2026? | BUY | 0.2487562189 | $10.00 |
| 06-25 20:46 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |