0x0EAA3b83B8b9c5B22a6b1e321229823844d6ae1D-1776743989455
0xad02797fb92635f15f0ac1816633c13aa7148a70
- Realised P&L
- $-126.05
- Volume
- $10.0k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $700.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$285.03at 0.838Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$37.42at 0.354Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$36.31at 0.923Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?
- +$-1.81at 0.036Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
- +$-23.85at 0.399Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 02:38 | Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election? | BUY | 0.7733333333 | $232.00 |
| 09-22 02:34 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.48 | $96.00 |
| 09-12 20:01 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.21 | $84.00 |
| 09-01 07:23 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7399999995 | $250.00 |
| 08-28 18:48 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $13.20 |
| 08-28 18:46 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.51 | $102.00 |
| 08-25 23:52 | Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.0220698422 | $10.00 |
| 08-12 19:18 | Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? | SELL | 0.9893818182 | $544.16 |
| 08-12 19:02 | Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 08-12 19:02 | Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.999 | $57.94 |
| 08-12 03:21 | Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.3448275862 | $20.00 |
| 08-12 01:31 | Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary? | BUY | 0.389 | $23.34 |
| 08-11 01:07 | Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? | BUY | 0.92 | $506.00 |
| 08-11 01:00 | Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 5–10%? | BUY | 0.156098501 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 10:15 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.027 | $0.57 |