PolyBot

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Traders

simmetrik

0xacdfcbd5c506e672cfb674dda31f87358f2600fb

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$52.6k
Markets traded
105
Open portfolio
$6.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded105
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1500.165$2.20+$0.20
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0420.026$1.26$0.74
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.090$0.95$1.05
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.0900.043$0.94$1.06
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.045$0.82$1.18
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1600.065$0.81$1.19
Will the US strike Iraq next? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET · Down0.5070.000$0.00$10.39
Will the US strike Iran next? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$57.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET · Down0.2950.000$0.00$24.53
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? · Yes0.2190.000$0.00$2.00
Will the US strike Yemen next? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET · Up0.4470.000$0.00$2.52
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET · Down0.3090.000$0.00$38.70
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$11.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-18 20:35Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETBUY0.3499999848$12.54
04-05 17:19US forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL0.998$13.84
04-01 21:35US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.5399999813$7.49
04-01 21:34Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?SELL0.1064543965$1.95
03-28 19:12US forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL0.56$5.54
03-25 18:02Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.1499999993$179.93
03-25 17:09Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL0.14$52.56
03-25 17:09Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?SELL0.1$127.37
03-24 15:02Will Iran strike Syria in March?BUY0.091999987$6.17
03-24 14:50Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?SELL0.0059935801$6.17
03-19 21:47US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.5299999727$5.25
03-19 21:46Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?SELL0.1475063256$5.25
03-19 00:14Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.1775551746$85.16
03-16 14:10Will Trump visit China by March 31?SELL0.737$9.36
03-16 14:09Will Trump visit China by March 31?SELL0.7375838848$75.79