simmetrik
0xacdfcbd5c506e672cfb674dda31f87358f2600fb
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $52.6k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $6.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$84.53at 0.106Will Solana dip to $70 in February?
- +$84.07at 0.608Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$71.17at 0.235Iran strike on US military by February 28?
- +$38.77at 0.140Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
- +$30.86at 0.470Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-18 20:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.3499999848 | $12.54 |
| 04-05 17:19 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $13.84 |
| 04-01 21:35 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.5399999813 | $7.49 |
| 04-01 21:34 | Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? | SELL | 0.1064543965 | $1.95 |
| 03-28 19:12 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.56 | $5.54 |
| 03-25 18:02 | Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1499999993 | $179.93 |
| 03-25 17:09 | Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $52.56 |
| 03-25 17:09 | Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $127.37 |
| 03-24 15:02 | Will Iran strike Syria in March? | BUY | 0.091999987 | $6.17 |
| 03-24 14:50 | Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31? | SELL | 0.0059935801 | $6.17 |
| 03-19 21:47 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.5299999727 | $5.25 |
| 03-19 21:46 | Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.1475063256 | $5.25 |
| 03-19 00:14 | Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1775551746 | $85.16 |
| 03-16 14:10 | Will Trump visit China by March 31? | SELL | 0.737 | $9.36 |
| 03-16 14:09 | Will Trump visit China by March 31? | SELL | 0.7375838848 | $75.79 |