0xaCbd8161BB2a3636FC2c04c1c59104392b8B61e3-1776231577875
0xacbd8161bb2a3636fc2c04c1c59104392b8b61e3
- Realised P&L
- $-91.63
- Volume
- $53.3k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $5.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.14at 0.247Will Trump say "Muscle" in June?
- +$2.11at 0.197Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
- +$0.64at 0.610Will Trump post "Lisa" this week on Truth Social?
- +$-0.77at 0.290Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
- +$-1.00at 0.019Will Donald Trump visit Nevada in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 03:04 | Will Trump say "Muscle" in June? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 06-01 01:32 | Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.24 |
| 04-17 07:29 | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $19.00 |
| 04-17 07:19 | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 04-17 07:17 | Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.001 | $12.27 |
| 04-17 07:02 | Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 04-17 06:58 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.59 | $3.53 |
| 04-17 06:54 | Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 04-17 06:54 | Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $0.94 |
| 04-15 21:23 | Will Trump post "Lisa" this week on Truth Social? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 04-15 21:22 | Will Trump post "Stupid" this week on Truth Social? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 04-15 06:53 | US currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0318928401 | $1.00 |
| 04-15 06:52 | Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 04-15 06:52 | Trump out as President by June 30? | BUY | 0.059999989 | $4.72 |
| 04-15 06:51 | Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? | BUY | 0.0389533242 | $1.00 |