RetroATM
0xacb01cddd60e4035bc035e13dfa2d594db6363fa
- Realised P&L
- $-15.57
- Volume
- $8.7k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $804.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.90at 0.540Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?
- +$18.08at 0.397Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?
- +$10.49at 0.680Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
- +$6.54at 0.782Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between September 7 and September 13, 2026?
- +$4.51at 0.971Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:18 | Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5) | SELL | 0.46 | $13.80 |
| 09-16 18:15 | Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5687534503 | $17.40 |
| 09-11 13:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.08 |
| 09-11 13:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.17 |
| 09-04 19:51 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 09-04 18:44 | Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $27.30 |
| 09-04 18:44 | Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.1418335014 | $4.26 |
| 09-04 18:42 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $6.00 |
| 09-04 18:42 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between September 7 and September 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.7751951624 | $23.28 |
| 09-04 03:26 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $5.20 |
| 09-04 03:26 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $34.00 |
| 09-03 22:00 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.00 |
| 09-03 22:00 | Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $6.50 |
| 09-03 22:00 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.398 | $3.98 |
| 09-03 21:54 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.383 | $7.66 |