tryingmyluckhere
0xac9b386454ed02ef205e0ebd189d8864fd02d4c5
- Realised P&L
- $145.7k
- Volume
- $6.63M
- Markets traded
- 552
- Open portfolio
- $47.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded552
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.6kat 0.222MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$24.4kat 0.055Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$20.5kat 0.584Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
- +$15.5kat 0.523LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
- +$12.8kat 0.212Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 15:35 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.55 | $4.4k |
| 09-14 15:34 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.7077709818 | $2.1k |
| 09-13 14:46 | Exact Score: Manchester United FC 3 - 1 Manchester City FC? | BUY | 0.038 | $20.00 |
| 09-13 14:45 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.3099999992 | $100.00 |
| 09-10 12:18 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.8k |
| 09-06 14:50 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06? | SELL | 0.89 | $128.36 |
| 09-06 13:24 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.5199999983 | $100.00 |
| 09-06 05:41 | LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | BUY | 0.59 | $590.00 |
| 09-06 05:38 | Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.58 | $1.61 |
| 09-03 03:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.3796717652 | $231.34 |
| 08-31 02:23 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $800.00 |
| 08-30 16:52 | Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.17 | $102.00 |
| 08-30 16:51 | Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.063634859 | $100.00 |
| 08-30 16:51 | Will Manchester United FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 08-30 15:45 | Manchester United FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |