kams.eyes
0xac84df77a7e859d855b0d77aa5dad1056aa53430
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $33.1k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $288.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.019 | $234.31 | −$1.9k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.175 | $21.88 | +$1.88 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.508 | 0.045 | $20.37 | −$209.63 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes | 0.363 | 0.029 | $11.99 | −$138.01 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes | 0.421 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$370.00 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? · Yes | 0.239 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$125.00 |
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? · No | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$212.86at 0.700Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$209.94at 0.322Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$160.63at 0.483Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
- +$71.15at 0.260US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
- +$42.50at 0.320Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 08:51 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $20.00 |
| 04-07 19:01 | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BUY | 0.6699999882 | $50.00 |
| 04-05 10:50 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $74.47 |
| 04-01 19:13 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.6699999972 | $50.00 |
| 03-18 12:36 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.1619999988 | $100.00 |
| 03-18 08:18 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.016 | $5.00 |
| 03-11 08:21 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 03-11 08:19 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $38.00 |
| 03-06 13:24 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.0988608462 | $50.00 |
| 03-04 22:04 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.0509999991 | $50.00 |
| 03-04 22:03 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.1892634242 | $400.00 |
| 03-04 15:13 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.3214206378 | $50.00 |
| 03-03 17:29 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.1839999973 | $50.00 |
| 03-03 17:29 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.1829680941 | $50.00 |
| 03-03 11:11 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.195294261 | $500.00 |