PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

0xAc644516C9791125F448871d1fbE32cE8C76866E-1779960016351

0xac644516c9791125f448871d1fbe32ce8c76866e

Realised P&L
$2.7k
Volume
$205.8k
Markets traded
10,727
Open portfolio
$8.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded10,727
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on August 4? · No0.9961.000$3.00+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 5? · Yes0.0910.060$0.60$0.31
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 6? · Yes0.0910.035$0.53$0.84
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 5? · Yes0.0910.050$0.28$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 6? · Yes0.0910.013$0.24$1.51
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 5? · Yes0.0910.019$0.20$0.71
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C or higher on August 6? · Yes0.0910.010$0.19$1.56
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on August 5? · Yes0.0910.018$0.18$0.73
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 5? · Yes0.0910.018$0.17$0.73
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 6? · Yes0.0910.010$0.16$1.29
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 5? · Yes0.0910.015$0.14$0.76
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 6? · Yes0.0910.007$0.14$1.64
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on August 6? · Yes0.0910.011$0.12$0.79
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on August 6? · Yes0.0910.017$0.08$0.37
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 6? · Yes0.0910.006$0.06$0.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 21:22Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.99$4.95
08-04 21:20Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 5?BUY0.91$7.28
08-04 21:20Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 5?BUY0.85$6.80
08-04 21:20Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 5?BUY0.999$7.99
08-04 21:20Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 5?BUY0.999$7.99
08-04 21:20Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C or higher on August 5?BUY0.999$7.99
08-04 21:15Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?BUY0.82$4.10
08-04 21:15Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 4?BUY0.998$4.99
08-04 21:15Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4?SELL0.17$0.06
08-04 21:15Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 4?BUY0.998$4.61
08-04 21:15Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?BUY0.81$3.74
08-04 21:10Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 4?BUY0.997$9.97
08-04 21:10Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 4?BUY0.97$9.70
08-04 21:06Will Nathan Willett be the Republican nominee for MO-06?BUY0.928$4.64
08-04 21:01Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C or higher on August 4?BUY0.999$8.25