0xAc644516C9791125F448871d1fbE32cE8C76866E-1779960016351
0xac644516c9791125f448871d1fbe32ce8c76866e
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $205.8k
- Markets traded
- 10,727
- Open portfolio
- $8.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded10,727
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$294.67at 0.002Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
- +$219.48at 0.023Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$169.11at 0.576Spain to score first vs. Argentina?
- +$132.77at 0.969Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$130.74at 0.083Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 21:22 | Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-04 21:20 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.91 | $7.28 |
| 08-04 21:20 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.85 | $6.80 |
| 08-04 21:20 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.99 |
| 08-04 21:20 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.99 |
| 08-04 21:20 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C or higher on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.99 |
| 08-04 21:15 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 08-04 21:15 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 08-04 21:15 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.06 |
| 08-04 21:15 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.61 |
| 08-04 21:15 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.81 | $3.74 |
| 08-04 21:10 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.97 |
| 08-04 21:10 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.97 | $9.70 |
| 08-04 21:06 | Will Nathan Willett be the Republican nominee for MO-06? | BUY | 0.928 | $4.64 |
| 08-04 21:01 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.25 |