CryptoFortunate
0xac482f27ac3d1144ca4f778af405eb5cac5d2feb
- Realised P&L
- $18.1k
- Volume
- $306.4k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $152.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.860 | 0.959 | $111.5k | +$11.5k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No | 0.969 | 0.997 | $30.9k | +$866.24 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes | 0.926 | 0.968 | $5.4k | +$232.03 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No | 0.945 | 0.978 | $5.2k | +$171.17 |
| France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners · Over | 0.774 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$540.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.842Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca
- +$1.9kat 0.517Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.7kat 0.226Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.880Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$1.0kat 0.832Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 01:08 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.9261732126 | $5.2k |
| 07-17 22:28 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.968534758 | $30.0k |
| 07-01 22:48 | Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.94 | $470.00 |
| 07-01 22:46 | Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.98158458 | $500.00 |
| 07-01 22:45 | Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.9815338505 | $1000.00 |
| 07-01 22:43 | Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.9799999993 | $1000.00 |
| 07-01 22:43 | Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.9894041056 | $5.0k |
| 07-01 22:43 | Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.99 | $200.00 |
| 07-01 22:39 | Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.135 | $67.82 |
| 07-01 22:34 | Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.398133005 | $200.00 |
| 06-30 22:31 | France vs. Sweden: France O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6199999999 | $100.00 |
| 06-30 22:20 | France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.8259404112 | $350.00 |
| 06-30 22:20 | France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.6799999984 | $50.00 |
| 06-30 22:16 | Michael Olise: 2+ assists | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 06-30 22:15 | Michael Olise: 2+ assists | BUY | 0.22 | $4.40 |