0xAC3874733D8a0F67Cf159BDa2dbd687F919aEFFf-1768421036327
0xac3874733d8a0f67cf159bda2dbd687f919aefff
- Realised P&L
- $-362.75
- Volume
- $347.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,248
- Open portfolio
- $851.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,248
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$925.43at 0.910Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
- +$665.20at 0.581Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 5.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
- +$392.00at 0.014US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
- +$371.28at 0.217Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
- +$355.77at 0.544Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:34 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.473 | $319.27 |
| 11-01 18:04 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.411 | $92.47 |
| 11-01 18:04 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.4110279667 | $123.31 |
| 11-01 11:31 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.379 | $29.29 |
| 11-01 11:28 | Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats? | SELL | 0.9592738731 | $70.02 |
| 11-01 10:12 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.06734375 | $2.15 |
| 10-31 13:26 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | SELL | 0.631567344 | $277.88 |
| 10-30 13:46 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | SELL | 0.6261091667 | $225.40 |
| 10-30 06:15 | Will Yoav Segalovich be the next Israeli Minister of National Security? | BUY | 0.111 | $11.10 |
| 10-30 05:39 | Will Shaul Meridor be the next Israeli Minister of Finance? | BUY | 0.092 | $2.76 |
| 10-30 05:39 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Finance? | BUY | 0.104 | $16.32 |
| 10-30 05:38 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs? | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 10-30 05:38 | Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs? | BUY | 0.18 | $13.90 |
| 10-30 03:28 | Will Yoram Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of National Security? | BUY | 0.1161222 | $116.12 |
| 10-30 03:25 | Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 4% and 6% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.965 | $40.53 |