zhu0105
0xac287365d2734e098456520b2c4a2a80740e19c0
- Realised P&L
- $-371.04
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $563.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-15.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.935 | 0.960 | $307.86 | +$7.86 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.920 | 0.958 | $104.08 | +$4.08 |
| China coup attempt before 2027? · No | 0.909 | 0.960 | $95.95 | +$5.05 |
| Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.115 | $56.06 | −$60.94 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 January 26-1? · No | 0.951 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$380.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.21at 0.740EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$7.95at 0.953US strike on Cuba by March 31?
- +$0.90at 0.991Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in February 2026?
- +$0.58at 0.997Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
- +$0.28at 0.965Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-27 13:22 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.935 | $300.00 |
| 03-23 12:46 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999987 | $193.39 |
| 03-19 14:59 | EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.96603235 | $193.21 |
| 03-05 15:06 | US strike on Cuba by March 31? | BUY | 0.9533653963 | $162.58 |
| 02-07 04:07 | EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.75 | $75.00 |
| 02-07 03:42 | China coup attempt before 2027? | BUY | 0.909 | $8.13 |
| 02-07 03:39 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $100.00 |
| 02-03 14:50 | Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? | BUY | 0.24 | $117.00 |
| 02-03 14:49 | Xi Jinping out by June 30? | SELL | 0.968 | $90.94 |
| 02-01 12:38 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 January 26-1? | BUY | 0.9514258 | $380.57 |
| 02-01 12:35 | Xi Jinping out by June 30? | BUY | 0.965 | $90.66 |