0xac218de9a15ad329d5314b54ba4831b00d325f38
0xac218de9a15ad329d5314b54ba4831b00d325f38
- Realised P&L
- $-8.72
- Volume
- $195.58
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $2.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No | 0.690 | 0.860 | $1.41 | +$0.28 |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.165 | $1.28 | −$0.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.55at 0.247Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$5.37at 0.280US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$4.82at 0.308Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $161 Week of August 10 2026?
- +$2.05at 0.510Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$1.97at 0.520Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $144 Week of August 3 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 05:28 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.269999991 | $2.09 |
| 09-19 05:44 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.6499999222 | $2.09 |
| 09-16 06:47 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.6099999117 | $1.52 |
| 09-15 22:47 | Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.679999987 | $2.09 |
| 09-09 08:44 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.09 |
| 09-08 18:30 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.649999971 | $1.12 |
| 09-08 02:47 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999252 | $2.09 |
| 09-07 14:16 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | BUY | 0.7299997345 | $2.09 |
| 09-02 21:49 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.09 |
| 09-01 18:45 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999219 | $2.09 |
| 09-01 08:51 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.09 |
| 08-22 05:06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.7699999484 | $2.09 |
| 08-17 15:46 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $178 Week of August 17 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $2.09 |
| 08-17 06:40 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of August 17 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999767 | $2.09 |
| 08-16 22:39 | Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 17? | BUY | 0.4487974477 | $2.09 |