0xac0dc9e7598ed847976f8bcfd2d4a1056d92cdfa
- Realised P&L
- $-5.15
- Volume
- $822.26
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $42.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.15at 0.698Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- +$0.09at 0.869Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.06at 0.864Will Rafael Fonteles win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election?
- +$0.05at 0.795Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?
- +$0.03at 1.004Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 01:43 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.06 |
| 09-17 20:43 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $0.07 |
| 09-17 20:43 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $0.01 |
| 09-17 17:01 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.23 |
| 09-17 10:49 | Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government? | BUY | 0.9179999531 | $1.37 |
| 09-17 10:28 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | SELL | 0.76 | $2.58 |
| 09-17 05:06 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.06 |
| 09-17 04:16 | Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.03 |
| 09-17 04:16 | Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.02 |
| 09-17 04:16 | Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.03 |
| 09-17 04:16 | Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.02 |
| 09-17 00:01 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.01 |
| 09-16 21:04 | Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.19 |
| 09-16 20:08 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.05 |
| 09-16 20:08 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.15 |