0xac0dc9e7598ed847976f8bcfd2d4a1056d92cdfa
- Realised P&L
- $-4.42
- Volume
- $626.34
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $46.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.74at 0.955Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
- +$0.17at 0.993Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$0.09at 0.780Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?
- +$0.08at 0.833Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
- +$0.06at 0.914Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 00:33 | Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | SELL | 0.56 | $1.06 |
| 08-03 23:53 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.926 | $0.02 |
| 08-03 23:53 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.926 | $0.06 |
| 08-03 23:53 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.926 | $0.06 |
| 08-03 23:53 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.926 | $0.06 |
| 08-03 23:52 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.926 | $0.01 |
| 08-03 21:21 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.926 | $0.12 |
| 08-03 21:03 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.925 | $0.08 |
| 08-03 20:50 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.925 | $0.01 |
| 08-03 20:50 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.925 | $0.01 |
| 08-03 19:57 | UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 18:22 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.975 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 16:22 | Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $0.56 |
| 08-03 16:20 | Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | SELL | 0.407 | $0.00 |
| 08-03 15:46 | Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.974 | $1.83 |