PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

numerology

0xabd358dda60de7d2c7534f5fb50f7063d97d637f

Realised P&L
$-545.48
Volume
$23.3k
Markets traded
103
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded103
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? · No0.7160.978$341.49+$91.49
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6000.655$272.92+$22.92
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · No0.4500.675$210.00+$70.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No0.4270.395$138.85−$11.15
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · No0.6100.545$89.34−$10.66
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · No0.3780.290$76.66−$23.34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.5900.145$73.73−$226.27
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.4600.655$56.96+$16.96
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.2900.165$28.45−$21.55
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%? · Yes0.1720.225$25.36+$6.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No0.1800.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 00:44UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.7299999802$5.90
09-17 20:072026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.5999999995$250.00
09-10 20:45Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.2899999985$50.00
09-10 20:44Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?BUY0.3782976595$100.00
09-10 20:44Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.4267284154$150.00
09-10 20:44Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.1799999999$50.00
09-10 20:44Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?BUY0.1199999998$20.00
09-10 20:41Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.1799999999$50.00
09-10 20:40Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?BUY0.1199999998$20.00
09-10 20:22Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.6099999985$100.00
08-28 21:54Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7159813393$250.00
08-18 18:50Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.009$35.00
08-10 21:38Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.4599999977$40.00
08-10 21:37Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?BUY0.1717746229$19.36
08-08 00:38Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?BUY0.4499999984$140.00