numerology
0xabd358dda60de7d2c7534f5fb50f7063d97d637f
- Realised P&L
- $-545.48
- Volume
- $23.3k
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$230.16at 0.610Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
- +$180.75at 0.293US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$169.05at 0.388Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$139.20at 0.519Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
- +$128.57at 0.280Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 00:44 | UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.7299999802 | $5.90 |
| 09-17 20:07 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5999999995 | $250.00 |
| 09-10 20:45 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.2899999985 | $50.00 |
| 09-10 20:44 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | BUY | 0.3782976595 | $100.00 |
| 09-10 20:44 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.4267284154 | $150.00 |
| 09-10 20:44 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.1799999999 | $50.00 |
| 09-10 20:44 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15? | BUY | 0.1199999998 | $20.00 |
| 09-10 20:41 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.1799999999 | $50.00 |
| 09-10 20:40 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15? | BUY | 0.1199999998 | $20.00 |
| 09-10 20:22 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.6099999985 | $100.00 |
| 08-28 21:54 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7159813393 | $250.00 |
| 08-18 18:50 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.009 | $35.00 |
| 08-10 21:38 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.4599999977 | $40.00 |
| 08-10 21:37 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.1717746229 | $19.36 |
| 08-08 00:38 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999984 | $140.00 |