0xabd1890aca1bf913b240b86978cf9a5710639436
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $294.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration67.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.705 | $198.59 | −$1.41 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.495 | $51.68 | +$2.61 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.448 | 0.440 | $43.95 | −$0.85 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 13:35 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.448 | $44.80 |
| 11-01 13:16 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.47 | $49.07 |
| 11-01 13:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7099999996 | $200.00 |