0xaBCc1C2C8ed1861972070f4C9C82eFB9220d1C43-1769271392711
0xabcc1c2c8ed1861972070f4c9c82efb9220d1c43
- Realised P&L
- $344.71
- Volume
- $12.5k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $26.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$272.50at 0.018Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?
- +$107.65at 0.085Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?
- +$91.06at 0.052Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
- +$23.33at 0.300Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
- +$16.74at 0.450Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 10:19 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.009 | $3.86 |
| 09-16 10:17 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on September 16? | BUY | 0.0259999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 10:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.0299999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 10:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.0379999998 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 07:28 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.69 |
| 09-14 18:03 | Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.1034583051 | $32.66 |
| 09-14 18:00 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 05-16 00:07 | Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs | BUY | 0.5799999987 | $35.00 |
| 05-15 23:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 05-15 23:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 05-15 23:19 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May? | SELL | 0.0414960965 | $14.62 |
| 05-15 23:19 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May? | SELL | 0.24 | $34.28 |
| 05-13 21:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | SELL | 0.1607361317 | $100.75 |
| 05-12 11:30 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May? | BUY | 0.0505877379 | $17.82 |
| 05-12 11:30 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May? | BUY | 0.2099999957 | $30.00 |