encinita
0xabc4bd161f810efb7020313be36a88a62e8aad83
- Realised P&L
- $-34.55
- Volume
- $6.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,000
- Open portfolio
- $56.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded1,000
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.94at 0.770Meta (META) Up or Down on November 20?
- +$1.64at 0.781Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8AM ET
- +$0.84at 0.878XRP Up or Down - September 14, 10PM ET
- +$0.83at 0.859Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3AM ET
- +$0.82at 0.890Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on November 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:56 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.06 |
| 11-01 03:56 | Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to less than 2 years in prison? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.06 |
| 11-01 03:56 | Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time? | BUY | 0.996 | $5.06 |
| 10-31 22:57 | Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.06 |
| 10-31 20:56 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31? | BUY | 0.9799998683 | $5.06 |
| 10-31 07:56 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $5.06 |
| 10-30 19:56 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $370 end of October? | BUY | 0.999 | $0.93 |
| 10-30 05:56 | Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.0%? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.06 |
| 10-30 05:56 | Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.06 |
| 10-30 05:56 | Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than or equal to 0.0%? | BUY | 0.9959998599 | $5.06 |
| 10-30 04:56 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.995 | $5.06 |
| 10-30 03:56 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.07 |
| 10-29 10:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.972 | $5.06 |
| 10-29 07:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $5.06 |
| 10-29 06:56 | Solana Up or Down - October 29, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $5.06 |