PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xabc4bd161f810efb7020313be36a88a62e8aad83

Realised P&L
$-31.65
Volume
$4.8k
Markets traded
736
Open portfolio
$42.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded736
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.984$6.56$0.10
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.974$6.49$0.17
Will Thorsten Wassermann win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? · No0.9980.992$5.96$0.04
Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026? · No0.9980.997$5.84$0.01
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on September 17? · No0.9991.000$5.62+$0.01
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on September 17? · No0.9991.000$5.62+$0.01
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17? · Yes0.9970.992$5.58$0.03
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.9990.144$0.96$5.70
Will Kyle Campbell win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election? · No0.9880.000$0.00$6.00
Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election? · Yes0.9900.000$0.00$6.41
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or higher on October 30? · No0.9870.000$0.00$7.39
Will Keir Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions? · Yes0.9800.000$0.00$6.67
UT Martin Skyhawks vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels · UNLV Runnin' Rebels0.9900.000$0.00$6.73
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET · Down0.6800.000$0.00$7.04
Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 6AM ET · Down0.9900.000$0.00$5.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 23:57Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17?BUY0.9969999996$5.61
09-17 22:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 6PM ETBUY0.99$5.61
09-17 21:59WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on September 17?BUY0.999$5.61
09-17 21:58WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on September 17?BUY0.999$5.61
09-17 21:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5PM ETBUY0.998$5.61
09-17 20:57US Dollar / Swedish Krona (USD/SEK) Up or Down on September 17?BUY0.999$5.61
09-17 10:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 6AM ETBUY0.998$5.61
09-17 08:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4AM ETBUY0.99$5.60
09-17 06:58Will Tatyana Ali be eliminated in week 1 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?BUY0.998$5.60
09-17 03:58BNB Up or Down - September 16, 11PM ETBUY0.999$4.05
09-17 03:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 11PM ETBUY0.999$5.60
09-16 19:59Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 16?BUY0.999$5.60
09-16 19:57XRP Up or Down - September 16, 3PM ETBUY0.999$5.60
09-16 19:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 3PM ETBUY0.999$5.60
09-16 13:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 9AM ETBUY0.998$5.59