0xabb9d267cc87bca23321768cae85ee4779a42b63
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $38.7k
- Markets traded
- 176
- Open portfolio
- $7.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded176
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$521.11at 0.666Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$480.94at 0.345Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$402.31at 0.470Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?
- +$230.03at 0.443Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
- +$223.66at 0.553Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 19:26 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.6 | $101.50 |
| 09-17 02:35 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.63 | $17.90 |
| 09-16 19:03 | Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $31.98 |
| 09-14 17:47 | Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.8 | $22.70 |
| 09-14 16:03 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.15 | $13.24 |
| 09-13 21:42 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999989 | $119.22 |
| 09-13 21:41 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $30.64 |
| 09-13 20:31 | Will the Centre Party (C) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9522503001 | $9.40 |
| 09-13 20:16 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win fewer than 105 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.96 | $15.96 |
| 09-13 20:06 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.2699999981 | $23.86 |
| 09-13 19:59 | Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.569999979 | $9.52 |
| 09-13 19:52 | Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.562 | $15.04 |
| 09-13 19:41 | Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.3599999911 | $4.83 |
| 09-13 19:38 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9399999963 | $5.05 |
| 09-13 19:38 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9333988737 | $14.14 |