0xab7ecd028ceec199aa750ec5a3041e46f0ae1a5f
0xab7ecd028ceec199aa750ec5a3041e46f0ae1a5f
- Realised P&L
- $-186.95
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $25.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.82at 0.820Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
- +$4.62at 0.930Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$1.63at 0.197Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$0.81at 0.973Epstein client list released by June 30?
- +$0.31at 0.892Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 23:26 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.883 | $0.59 |
| 10-19 17:12 | Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998787 | $1.01 |
| 10-19 17:08 | Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.01 |
| 10-19 17:08 | Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899998429 | $1.01 |
| 10-19 17:08 | Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899998429 | $1.01 |
| 10-19 17:00 | Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.931 | $1.09 |
| 10-19 16:45 | Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599997105 | $1.01 |
| 10-19 16:41 | France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.977 | $1.02 |
| 10-19 16:34 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.052 | $1.31 |
| 10-19 12:28 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | SELL | 0.98939 | $1.98 |
| 10-19 11:05 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.8099999198 | $1.01 |
| 10-19 11:05 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.8099999198 | $1.01 |
| 10-19 11:04 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.8099999198 | $1.01 |
| 10-19 10:49 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.528 | $0.25 |
| 10-19 10:09 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.528 | $0.76 |