bohdancio
0xab795bf04976828027b7ebe7814c7100e14ff2ed
- Realised P&L
- $664.39
- Volume
- $18.2k
- Markets traded
- 167
- Open portfolio
- $576.98
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded167
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? · No | 0.736 | 0.877 | $155.08 | +$25.08 |
| Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? · No | 0.758 | 0.750 | $79.14 | −$0.86 |
| Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31? · No | 0.528 | 0.720 | $74.98 | +$19.98 |
| Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by October 31? · No | 0.500 | 0.670 | $53.60 | +$13.60 |
| Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30? · No | 0.919 | 0.937 | $52.01 | +$1.01 |
| Will Russia enter Moskovka by October 31? · No | 0.532 | 0.775 | $50.94 | +$15.94 |
| Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30? · No | 0.951 | 0.932 | $49.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.625 | 0.685 | $47.99 | +$4.19 |
| Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30? · Yes | 0.169 | 0.125 | $12.53 | −$4.39 |
| Will Russia capture Kindrativka by December 31? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.340 | $1.70 | −$0.60 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 15? · Yes | 0.356 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$167.07at 0.770Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?
- +$41.09at 0.487Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?
- +$35.05at 0.848Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?
- +$33.70at 0.499Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by December 31, 2026?
- +$32.40at 0.915Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 05:43 | Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30? | SELL | 0.127405102 | $24.97 |
| 09-23 21:30 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.846540709 | $43.46 |
| 09-23 15:13 | Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6141045947 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 14:57 | Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.609999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 13:49 | Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5754716797 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 13:37 | Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $73.60 |
| 09-23 11:37 | Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.2118552982 | $15.00 |
| 09-23 11:37 | Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.1604177149 | $30.00 |
| 09-23 11:22 | Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30? | BUY | 0.9511164121 | $50.00 |
| 09-23 10:24 | Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 09-23 10:11 | Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 09-23 08:34 | Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.1299999982 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 05:35 | Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30? | BUY | 0.9188918941 | $51.00 |
| 09-21 18:42 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30? | BUY | 0.9 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 18:40 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30? | BUY | 0.9215068401 | $32.55 |