bohdancio
0xab795bf04976828027b7ebe7814c7100e14ff2ed
- Realised P&L
- $303.81
- Volume
- $10.4k
- Markets traded
- 126
- Open portfolio
- $228.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded126
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Moskovka by August 31? · No | 0.523 | 0.800 | $56.64 | +$19.64 |
| Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by August 31? · No | 0.510 | 0.810 | $53.87 | +$19.95 |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30? · No | 0.578 | 0.445 | $38.50 | −$11.50 |
| Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.430 | 0.520 | $36.28 | +$6.28 |
| Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by August 31? · No | 0.510 | 0.905 | $13.36 | +$5.83 |
| Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by September 30? · No | 0.530 | 0.535 | $13.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will Russia enter Myrne by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.968 | 0.971 | $10.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.675 | $4.82 | −$0.18 |
| Will Russia enter Matiasheve by August 31? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.290 | $2.46 | −$0.17 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$167.07at 0.770Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?
- +$28.14at 0.713Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
- +$27.62at 0.550Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
- +$26.18at 0.598Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?
- +$25.30at 0.402Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:25 | Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 15:24 | Will Russia enter Myrne by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.967646984 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 12:05 | Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999971 | $30.00 |
| 08-01 21:08 | Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by August 31? | SELL | 0.9 | $39.83 |
| 08-01 17:10 | Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30? | BUY | 0.5779772555 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 21:16 | Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by August 31? | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 21:16 | Will Russia enter Moskovka by August 31? | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 20:43 | Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by September 30? | BUY | 0.53 | $13.00 |
| 07-31 20:34 | Will Russia enter Moskovka by August 31? | BUY | 0.5199999967 | $32.00 |
| 07-31 17:36 | Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by August 31? | BUY | 0.5099999952 | $30.00 |
| 07-31 17:30 | Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by August 31? | BUY | 0.509999999 | $30.10 |
| 07-31 17:07 | Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31? | BUY | 0.9423574807 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 11:47 | Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31? | BUY | 0.9357975057 | $50.00 |
| 07-30 19:02 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $22.00 |
| 07-30 17:53 | Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.20 |