doubletwo
0xab273988ee614e19657da52b6e0f055b6bfc97fc
- Realised P&L
- $-91.20
- Volume
- $10.7k
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $7.72
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.45at 0.220Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
- +$2.22at 0.343Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
- +$2.04at 0.220Will Russia enter Huliaipole by November 30?
- +$1.70at 0.020Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
- +$1.06at 0.090Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-28 23:28 | Will Trump announce a cut to U.S. military or intelligence aid to Ukraine by November 30? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 11-27 08:59 | US bank failure by December 31? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 11-27 08:57 | Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? | SELL | 0.35 | $1.98 |
| 11-26 12:41 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 11-26 12:40 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out in 2025? | BUY | 0.0140000001 | $1.00 |
| 11-26 12:39 | Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out in 2025? | BUY | 0.0198593955 | $1.00 |
| 11-26 12:39 | Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out in 2025? | BUY | 0.0154563985 | $1.00 |
| 11-26 12:39 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out in 2025? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.00 |
| 11-26 12:39 | Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out in 2025? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 11-26 12:38 | Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out in 2025? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 11-26 12:35 | Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in November? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 11-26 12:31 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.00 |
| 11-26 12:31 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025? | BUY | 0.0379999641 | $1.00 |
| 11-26 12:29 | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | BUY | 0.2779998226 | $1.00 |
| 11-26 12:23 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.0025 | $1.00 |