0xab23d54e7c9d61814ed875f1e8149c97185fde85
0xab23d54e7c9d61814ed875f1e8149c97185fde85
- Realised P&L
- $-29.31
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $77.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.966 | $34.34 | +$0.57 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No | 0.610 | 0.625 | $32.79 | +$0.79 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.135 | $10.54 | −$21.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.13at 0.983Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$1.70at 0.949Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026?
- +$1.33at 0.946NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.24at 0.961Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026?
- +$1.16at 0.955Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 08:50 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.9499999845 | $33.77 |
| 10-08 08:50 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $34.11 |
| 10-07 03:21 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.961999976 | $32.85 |
| 10-06 05:49 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.98 |
| 10-04 21:40 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.9439999995 | $31.28 |
| 10-03 19:55 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.9558409572 | $30.05 |
| 10-03 19:50 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999929 | $32.00 |
| 10-03 19:46 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4099999973 | $32.00 |
| 10-03 13:52 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $28.32 |
| 09-01 10:09 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $24.42 |
| 09-01 08:33 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.9729999994 | $27.59 |
| 09-01 08:31 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.3399999945 | $28.62 |
| 08-20 10:42 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9409999884 | $23.09 |
| 08-17 03:05 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.9769999983 | $12.79 |
| 08-17 03:02 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.988 | $13.12 |