PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

b3t4t35t

0xab18d12977eb41276083e6f05f68a23f921a467d

Realised P&L
$603.53
Volume
$619.1k
Markets traded
624
Open portfolio
$788.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded624
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No0.8520.895$358.00+$17.35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? · Yes0.1710.135$108.00$29.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6000.425$85.00$35.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.8200.585$58.50$23.50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? · Yes0.4400.385$38.50$5.50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? · Yes0.0350.037$37.50+$2.37
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.0900.075$34.50$6.90
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.1100.125$25.00+$3.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.2300.225$22.50$0.50
Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.75–$2.00 in July? · Yes0.0690.045$5.76$3.10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0260.013$5.00$5.60
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9820.981$5.00$0.01
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yes0.0190.019$4.11+$0.11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.4190.001$0.75$628.34
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 15? · Yes0.3850.000$0.00$38.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 00:34Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?BUY0.19$95.00
08-03 00:32Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?BUY0.0351317$35.13
08-03 00:32Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?BUY0.44$9.68
08-02 12:50Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.23$4.60
08-02 12:50Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.11$22.00
08-02 12:49Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4$40.00
07-31 13:20Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?BUY0.9113357553$300.00
07-31 13:20Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?BUY0.9489703671$100.00
07-31 13:20Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?SELL0.06$7.00
07-28 00:55Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?BUY0.143$14.30
07-24 00:17Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?BUY0.81$81.00
07-24 00:17Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?BUY0.5696062562$52.08
07-24 00:17Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?BUY0.199$18.04
07-24 00:11Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?BUY0.115$11.50
07-24 00:11Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?BUY0.249$24.90