PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

WSmovin

0xab1270725bc23f1a47a95130ad00172011203683

Realised P&L
$3.5k
Volume
$1.07M
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$426.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0290.029$210.46+$3.02
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes0.0100.013$129.18+$30.38
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0270.007$61.18−$161.81
Will the International Criminal Court win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0230.019$25.50−$4.50
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$390.00
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$50.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 · No0.0110.000$0.00−$99.99
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$100.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$289.93
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10? · Yes0.1650.000$0.00−$200.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$10.00
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$204.94
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$48.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No0.0030.000$0.00−$135.97
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00−$149.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 17:08Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0296560566$73.00
10-08 17:08US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?SELL0.0296724787$71.78
10-08 16:56Will the International Criminal Court win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0229403551$30.00
10-08 16:50Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.01787157$100.00
10-08 16:48Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.984$98.40
10-07 12:20Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?SELL0.29$141.23
10-05 07:33Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.0218661638$1.00
10-05 07:33Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.0161920182$1.00
10-05 07:32Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.016$6.02
10-05 07:23Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4$60.00
10-05 07:23Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?BUY0.39$3.90
10-05 07:23Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?BUY0.39$3.90
10-05 07:23Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?BUY0.39$39.00
10-05 07:21Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?BUY0.38$11.40
10-05 07:21Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?BUY0.38$3.80