PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

valera365

0xab04cee562fd03ff21f1ecda2e4949dc5db87ecd

Realised P&L
$-2.0k
Volume
$11.9k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$143.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-16.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-16 House seat? · Yes0.9860.985$51.19−$0.08
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? · No0.9670.957$45.40−$0.50
Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027? · No0.9830.957$44.00−$1.22
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No0.9700.981$2.65+$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-11 11:05Rays vs. AthleticsBUY0.5$500.00
07-29 06:42Dodgers vs. RedsBUY0.58$592.18
07-23 08:36Royals vs. CubsBUY0.58$704.12
05-27 11:40Cardinals vs. OriolesBUY0.49$4.83
05-16 11:42White Sox vs. CubsBUY0.67$720.25