0xaac59c562478b16ca6bb67173202a0281dad32d5
- Realised P&L
- $-1.83
- Volume
- $46.21
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $11.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.625 | $2.49 | +$0.30 |
| Will Sunoco (SUN) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.700 | 1.000 | $2.47 | +$0.74 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.825 | $2.32 | +$0.13 |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.340 | $2.19 | +$0.00 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.230 | $1.80 | −$0.39 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · No | 0.251 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$2.19 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · No | 0.320 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$2.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.87at 0.540Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $208 Week of August 3 2026?
- +$-0.03at 0.510Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 08:18 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999224 | $2.19 |
| 08-04 00:16 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.779999651 | $2.19 |
| 08-03 16:16 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999284 | $2.19 |
| 08-03 08:12 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $208 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999605 | $2.19 |
| 08-02 19:56 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.5499999121 | $2.19 |
| 08-02 11:52 | Will Sunoco (SUN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.6999999191 | $1.73 |
| 08-01 22:51 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.19 |
| 08-01 13:20 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.2507927459 | $2.19 |
| 08-01 04:34 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999281 | $1.56 |