0xaac59c562478b16ca6bb67173202a0281dad32d5
0xaac59c562478b16ca6bb67173202a0281dad32d5
- Realised P&L
- $4.89
- Volume
- $208.17
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $8.81
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No | 0.660 | 0.984 | $3.26 | +$1.07 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $112.50 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.650 | 0.655 | $2.21 | +$0.02 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · No | 0.340 | 0.225 | $1.45 | −$0.74 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $127.50 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.600 | 0.570 | $1.26 | −$0.07 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? · No | 0.270 | 0.059 | $0.48 | −$1.71 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.450 | 0.029 | $0.14 | −$2.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.59at 0.329Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$4.59at 0.329S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 10?
- +$4.19at 0.349Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026?
- +$4.07at 0.350US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$3.10at 0.420Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 15:28 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on September 21? | BUY | 0.6299999051 | $2.19 |
| 09-21 07:18 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $112.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999555 | $2.19 |
| 09-20 22:42 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $127.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5999999098 | $1.33 |
| 09-20 04:00 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999704 | $2.19 |
| 09-19 08:00 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.3399999721 | $2.19 |
| 09-19 00:00 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.4499999692 | $2.19 |
| 09-18 09:17 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.5899999057 | $2.19 |
| 09-17 17:36 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6599999638 | $2.19 |
| 09-17 00:12 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.2799999847 | $2.19 |
| 09-16 16:11 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | BUY | 0.4439999489 | $2.19 |
| 09-16 08:06 | Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.529999992 | $1.33 |
| 09-16 00:04 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4299999372 | $2.19 |
| 09-13 21:53 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.19 |
| 09-12 20:55 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.7 | $2.19 |
| 09-11 15:19 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.7799998077 | $2.19 |