0xAaad7cb102F41E015bB8A06cF6E52A0c396EAa81-1762291244991
0xaaad7cb102f41e015bb8a06cf6e52a0c396eaa81
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $543.1k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $3.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$788.31at 0.321Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$490.15at 0.377Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$415.66at 0.538Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?
- +$145.93at 0.720Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?
- +$107.76at 0.148Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 17:16 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.18 | $48.51 |
| 09-11 17:16 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.496 | $51.36 |
| 09-10 14:01 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3599999983 | $43.00 |
| 09-04 17:45 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.00 |
| 09-01 13:41 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0059999994 | $10.00 |
| 08-29 20:42 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5399999997 | $300.00 |
| 08-29 20:37 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.014 | $208.37 |
| 08-26 16:24 | Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006 | $500.00 |
| 08-26 16:23 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0167972524 | $250.00 |
| 08-23 13:08 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.5269999996 | $350.00 |
| 08-23 13:06 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.796 | $277.44 |
| 08-17 13:41 | Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.77 |
| 08-06 12:53 | Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.099508666 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 12:52 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.531 | $49.08 |
| 08-06 12:52 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.759 | $50.39 |