PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xAaad7cb102F41E015bB8A06cF6E52A0c396EAa81-1762291244991

0xaaad7cb102f41e015bb8a06cf6e52a0c396eaa81

Realised P&L
$2.0k
Volume
$420.3k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$2.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0600.146$2.4k+$1.4k
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0360.011$30.51$69.49
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00$101.00
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$50.00
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$5.00
Will André Ventura win 3rd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yes0.1360.000$0.00$204.90
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.2250.000$0.00$50.00
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$50.00
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$150.00
Will Luís Marques Mendes win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-25 14:36Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.0360588213$100.00
07-06 02:19Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.2249999967$50.00
07-06 00:57Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.2399999967$50.00
07-06 00:55Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.149999994$20.00
07-06 00:54Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.15$30.00
07-06 00:52Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.4299999987$150.00
07-06 00:51Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.7199999986$100.00
06-02 17:35Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0626429665$296.34
06-02 17:35Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0587000702$703.66
06-02 17:34Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.025$548.63
06-02 14:39Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.943$1.0k
05-23 01:42Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.0455681403$1000.00
05-12 02:38Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.914$1000.00
04-10 13:24Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.16$1.5k
04-10 13:22Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.16$500.00