0x514910771af9ca656af840dff83e8264ecf986cw
0xaaa78d1042e4e52ca9be1a267a3cc8482721746a
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $5.25M
- Markets traded
- 10,561
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10,561
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Nippon Ham Fighters · Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.999 | 0.995 | $343.69 | −$1.38 |
| KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz · KT Wiz | 0.999 | 0.995 | $337.62 | −$1.38 |
| Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Chunichi Dragons · Chunichi Dragons | 0.999 | 0.995 | $302.93 | −$1.07 |
| Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks · Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | 0.999 | 0.995 | $294.64 | −$1.18 |
| Klinton Baptiste vs. Aaron Bowen · Aaron Bowen | 0.999 | 0.945 | $283.63 | −$16.37 |
| KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giants · Lotte Giants | 0.999 | 0.997 | $270.57 | −$0.43 |
| Hanshin Tigers vs. Tokyo Yakult Swallows · Hanshin Tigers | 0.999 | 0.995 | $208.32 | −$0.84 |
| W35 Lagos: Cayetana Gutierrez Imaz vs Baotong Xu · Baotong Xu | 0.999 | 0.995 | $154.30 | −$0.70 |
| Ronny Alvarez vs. Narciso Carmona · Ronny Alvarez | 0.999 | 0.500 | $150.15 | −$149.85 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No | 0.957 | 0.991 | $124.17 | +$4.17 |
| KBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers · SSG Landers | 0.999 | 0.995 | $120.52 | −$0.48 |
| Sean Bruce vs. Hamza Uddin · Hamza Uddin | 0.999 | 0.995 | $110.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · No | 0.950 | 0.955 | $105.50 | +$0.50 |
| Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? · No | 0.973 | 0.993 | $101.99 | +$1.99 |
| Donte Layne vs. Keithland King · Donte Layne | 0.999 | 0.500 | $62.06 | −$61.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$369.73at 0.001Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1AM ET
- +$166.10at 0.255Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
- +$78.60at 0.255Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
- +$77.99at 0.491Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
- +$76.71at 0.216Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 01:49 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 9PM ET | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 10-06 01:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 23:27 | Chicago White Sox Team Total: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.9989999882 | $78.00 |
| 10-05 23:27 | Chicago White Sox Team Total: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.9989999943 | $150.00 |
| 10-05 22:51 | KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz | BUY | 0.998 | $149.00 |
| 10-05 21:19 | W35 Lagos: Cayetana Gutierrez Imaz vs Baotong Xu | BUY | 0.999 | $155.00 |
| 10-05 20:54 | Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Chunichi Dragons | BUY | 0.998 | $149.00 |
| 10-05 20:54 | KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz | BUY | 0.9989999957 | $190.00 |
| 10-05 20:48 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 4PM ET | SELL | 0.009 | $0.22 |
| 10-05 13:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 13:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 08:09 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 10-05 06:56 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 10-05 01:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 01:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |