PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hapyman

0xaa92ebc16679cf98ed83e18719db4c8d5508cda4

Realised P&L
$0.09
Volume
$6.4k
Markets traded
129
Open portfolio
$341.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded129
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? · No0.7120.815$164.62+$20.82
Will Drake release a new album by September 30? · No0.7470.926$120.04+$23.19
Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award? · Yes0.7200.715$52.14$0.36
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No0.4280.452$1.05+$0.05
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · No0.5800.585$1.01+$0.01
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9100.913$1.00+$0.00
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9130.908$0.99$0.00
Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026? · No0.9120.854$0.94$0.06
Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$9.16
Will Trump say "Hantavirus" this week? · Yes0.3490.000$0.00$10.00
Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$1.56
Will Drake feature Lil Baby on ICEMAN? · Yes0.3580.000$0.00$109.29
Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN? · Yes0.4620.000$0.00$69.67
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.4970.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 15:42Will Drake release a new album by September 30?BUY0.7477668666$95.85
09-15 08:32Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.9129993764$1.00
09-14 20:49Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award?BUY0.7199999978$51.50
09-14 11:12Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-14 10:47Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.401$0.61
09-13 08:40Will Drake release a new album by September 30?BUY0.6869995638$1.00
09-13 08:40Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?SELL0.85$1.49
09-13 01:39Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7299999978$109.35
09-13 01:39Kash Patel out by December 31?SELL0.77$111.67
09-11 17:41Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6599999962$34.45
09-10 17:54Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.4279999264$1.00
09-08 14:14Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?BUY0.911999358$1.00
09-06 11:07LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.4799999468$3.25
09-06 10:59LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.5299999758$3.50
09-06 10:58LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK PlayoffsBUY0.7699999904$40.00