hapyman
0xaa92ebc16679cf98ed83e18719db4c8d5508cda4
- Realised P&L
- $0.09
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 129
- Open portfolio
- $341.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded129
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.37at 0.381Kash Patel out by December 31?
- +$41.54at 0.649James Comey arrested by April 29?
- +$30.89at 0.607Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?
- +$29.51at 0.234Will Israel strike Gaza on January 3, 2026?
- +$27.98at 0.813Will Savannah Louie win Survivor season 49?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 15:42 | Will Drake release a new album by September 30? | BUY | 0.7477668666 | $95.85 |
| 09-15 08:32 | Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9129993764 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 20:49 | Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award? | BUY | 0.7199999978 | $51.50 |
| 09-14 11:12 | Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 10:47 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.401 | $0.61 |
| 09-13 08:40 | Will Drake release a new album by September 30? | BUY | 0.6869995638 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 08:40 | Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $1.49 |
| 09-13 01:39 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999978 | $109.35 |
| 09-13 01:39 | Kash Patel out by December 31? | SELL | 0.77 | $111.67 |
| 09-11 17:41 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999962 | $34.45 |
| 09-10 17:54 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.4279999264 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 14:14 | Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.911999358 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 11:07 | LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.4799999468 | $3.25 |
| 09-06 10:59 | LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.5299999758 | $3.50 |
| 09-06 10:58 | LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | BUY | 0.7699999904 | $40.00 |