raito1
0xaa6d4faa575895cc424da9d379c9596466f460b5
- Realised P&L
- $-877.01
- Volume
- $76.9k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.396 | 0.385 | $975.67 | −$29.03 |
| Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.010 | $90.09 | −$311.97 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET · Up | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$294.53at 0.170Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$276.72at 0.790Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$-691.75at 0.049Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?